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Probability and Statistics: To p or not to p?

University of London International Programmes via Coursera

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Overview

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We live in an uncertain and complex world, yet we continually have to make decisions in the present with uncertain future outcomes. Indeed, we should be on the look-out for "black swans" - low-probability high-impact events.

To study, or not to study? To invest, or not to invest? To marry, or not to marry?

While uncertainty makes decision-making difficult, it does at least make life exciting! If the entire future was known in advance, there would never be an element of surprise. Whether a good future or a bad future, it would be a known future.

In this course we consider many useful tools to deal with uncertainty and help us to make informed (and hence better) decisions - essential skills for a lifetime of good decision-making.

Key topics include quantifying uncertainty with probability, descriptive statistics, point and interval estimation of means and proportions, the basics of hypothesis testing, and a selection of multivariate applications of key terms and concepts seen throughout the course.

Syllabus

WEEK 1

Dealing with Uncertainty and Complexity in a Chaotic World

 

WEEK 2

Quantifying Uncertainty With Probability

 

WEEK 3

Describing The World The Statistical Way

 

WEEK 5

To p Or Not To p?

 

WEEK 6

Applications

 

 

Taught by

Dr James Abdey

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